New Hampshire Is More Than A Coin Toss. It’s A Number’s Game
Forget the media spin on Election2016. Instead keep your own scorecard. to predict the Election2016 Democratic candidate before the media announces the winner. You can do this by following a scorecard: a projected goal for winning delegates state-by-state. The scorecard was produced by David Wasserman for The Cook Political Report. The reason I like it is because it allows voters to follow the candidate of their choice without all the media hype and fear-mongering. In other words, just do the math. Here’s how it works. In a recent story, the DailyKos.com highlighted the research of David Wasserman. Wasserman’s model shows how many delegates each candidate has *already decided* they need from each state in order to get to 1976 pledged delegates. For example, here’s a screenshot taken from before the Iowa primary. In round one, HRC gained 10 additional delegates, Sanders subtracted 10 that the surveys predicted he would win. New Hampshire is round two. The image shows what Wasserman predicts each candidate needs, state-by-state, to reach the 1976 total necessary for a win. ...
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